目標条件付きマルチエージェント軌道予測モデルPRECOG
PRECOG: PREdiction Conditioned On Goals in Visual Multi-Agent Settings
自動運転車の目標を与えることで他車両の将来軌道を確率的に予測するモデルを提案し、実データとシミュレーションで従来手法より高精度な多エージェント予測を実現した。
著者: Nicholas Rhinehart, Rowan McAllister, Kris Kitani, Sergey Levine
分類: cs.CV, cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.RO, stat.ML
原文アブストラクト
For autonomous vehicles (AVs) to behave appropriately on roads populated by human-driven vehicles, they must be able to reason about the uncertain intentions and decisions of other drivers from rich perceptual information. Towards these capabilities, we present a probabilistic forecasting model of future interactions between a variable number of agents. We perform both standard forecasting and the novel task of conditional forecasting, which reasons about how all agents will likely respond to the goal of a controlled agent (here, the AV). We train models on real and simulated data to forecast vehicle trajectories given past positions and LIDAR. Our evaluation shows that our model is substantially more accurate in multi-agent driving scenarios compared to existing state-of-the-art. Beyond its general ability to perform conditional forecasting queries, we show that our model's predictions of all agents improve when conditioned on knowledge of the AV's goal, further illustrating its capability to model agent interactions.
