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軌跡予測arXiv:1811.02146

TrafficPredict: 多種交通エージェントの軌跡予測

TrafficPredict: Trajectory Prediction for Heterogeneous Traffic-Agents

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LSTMを用いて車・自転車・歩行者など異種交通エージェントの将来軌跡をリアルタイム予測する手法を提案し、大都市で収集したデータセットで従来法より高精度を示した。

著者: Yuexin Ma, Xinge Zhu, Sibo Zhang, Ruigang Yang, Wenping Wang, Dinesh Manocha

分類: cs.CV, cs.RO

原文アブストラクト

To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and critical task is to explore the movement patterns of different traffic-agents and predict their future trajectories accurately to help the autonomous vehicle make reasonable navigation decision. To solve this problem, we propose a long short-term memory-based (LSTM-based) realtime traffic prediction algorithm, TrafficPredict. Our approach uses an instance layer to learn instances' movements and interactions and has a category layer to learn the similarities of instances belonging to the same type to refine the prediction. In order to evaluate its performance, we collected trajectory datasets in a large city consisting of varying conditions and traffic densities. The dataset includes many challenging scenarios where vehicles, bicycles, and pedestrians move among one another. We evaluate the performance of TrafficPredict on our new dataset and highlight its higher accuracy for trajectory prediction by comparing with prior prediction methods.

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