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行動予測arXiv:2208.00516

帰納バイアスを用いた解釈可能な運転行動予測モデルの学習

Learning an Interpretable Model for Driver Behavior Prediction with Inductive Biases

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手設計のIntelligent Driver Modelを深層ニューラルネットワークに組み込み、予測精度を落とさずに解釈性と長期一貫性を向上させる運転行動予測モデルを提案した。

著者: Salar Arbabi, Davide Tavernini, Saber Fallah, Richard Bowden

分類: cs.RO

原文アブストラクト

To plan safe maneuvers and act with foresight, autonomous vehicles must be capable of accurately predicting the uncertain future. In the context of autonomous driving, deep neural networks have been successfully applied to learning predictive models of human driving behavior from data. However, the predictions suffer from cascading errors, resulting in large inaccuracies over long time horizons. Furthermore, the learned models are black boxes, and thus it is often unclear how they arrive at their predictions. In contrast, rule-based models, which are informed by human experts, maintain long-term coherence in their predictions and are human-interpretable. However, such models often lack the sufficient expressiveness needed to capture complex real-world dynamics. In this work, we begin to close this gap by embedding the Intelligent Driver Model, a popular hand-crafted driver model, into deep neural networks. Our model's transparency can offer considerable advantages, e.g., in debugging the model and more easily interpreting its predictions. We evaluate our approach on a simulated merging scenario, showing that it yields a robust model that is end-to-end trainable and provides greater transparency at no cost to the model's predictive accuracy.

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